Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.006310 0.007033 0.007818 0.008740 0.009793 0.010963 0.012367
2025-06-08 0.004985 0.005929 0.007039 0.008452 0.010215 0.012362 0.015201
2025-06-15 0.004359 0.005412 0.006717 0.008471 0.010800 0.013827 0.018128
2025-06-22 0.004028 0.005181 0.006672 0.008774 0.011714 0.015759 0.021890
2025-06-29 0.003608 0.004770 0.006326 0.008603 0.011926 0.016718 0.024383
2025-07-06 0.003264 0.004420 0.006012 0.008421 0.012070 0.017559 0.026780
2025-07-13 0.003029 0.004193 0.005840 0.008410 0.012446 0.018767 0.029907
2025-07-20 0.002890 0.004085 0.005825 0.008622 0.013173 0.020598 0.034341
2025-07-27 0.002695 0.003879 0.005640 0.008546 0.013420 0.021660 0.037580
2025-08-03 0.002541 0.003720 0.005511 0.008540 0.013774 0.022931 0.041397
2025-08-10 0.002383 0.003542 0.005335 0.008438 0.013942 0.023883 0.044738
2025-08-17 0.002278 0.003437 0.005267 0.008506 0.014413 0.025440 0.049565
2025-08-24 0.002144 0.003284 0.005117 0.008434 0.014652 0.026650 0.054032
2025-08-31 0.001983 0.003075 0.004861 0.008154 0.014477 0.027035 0.056793
2025-09-07 0.001890 0.002973 0.004775 0.008174 0.014875 0.028636 0.062701
2025-09-14 0.001850 0.002956 0.004835 0.008464 0.015843 0.031580 0.072564
2025-09-21 0.001742 0.002815 0.004664 0.008300 0.015859 0.032438 0.077282
2025-09-28 0.001642 0.002681 0.004496 0.008125 0.015831 0.033190 0.081889
2025-10-05 0.001573 0.002598 0.004415 0.008115 0.016156 0.034814 0.089354
2025-10-12 0.001538 0.002573 0.004439 0.008318 0.016974 0.037763 0.101527
2025-10-19 0.001470 0.002484 0.004335 0.008245 0.017157 0.039150 0.109268
2025-10-26 0.001415 0.002415 0.004265 0.008240 0.017496 0.040993 0.119028
2025-11-02 0.001353 0.002329 0.004157 0.008141 0.017599 0.042223 0.127070